How to Be Less Wrong in a Polycrisis

Your strategy keeps failing in ways you didn't predict. Not because you lack intelligence or information, but because the mental models behind your decisions no longer match reality.

This short, practical ebook gives team leads and decision-makers in mission-driven organisations three lenses for thinking more clearly in uncertain times:

• Chapter 1 — how to notice and test the stories you're telling yourself, using epistemic humility and three habits you can start today.
• Chapter 2 — how your tools shape your thinking (for better or worse), with a McLuhan-inspired audit you can run on your own stack.
• Chapter 3 — five structural characteristics that separate organisations that can update their thinking from those that stay stuck.

Written by Dr Doug Belshaw, a systems thinking consultant who works with nonprofits, cooperatives, and social enterprises on how they make decisions under uncertainty.

CC0 — free to share, adapt, and use however you like.